In Wired: Several notable visionaries describe how they spot the future. Including several we worked with. It is always about a context. Notably Paul Saffo: " ... A longtime technology forecaster, Saffo is a managing director at the Silicon Valley investment research firm Discern. Formerly the director of the Institute for the Future, he is also a consulting professor in Stanford University’s engineering department.
There are four indicators I look for: contradictions, inversions, oddities, and coincidences. In 2007 stock prices and gold prices were both soaring. Usually you don’t see those prices high at the same time. When you see a contradiction like that, it means more fundamental change is ahead.... " . The other comments are good also.
Wednesday, April 25, 2012
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