/* ---- Google Analytics Code Below */

Tuesday, June 02, 2020

Simulating the Market

Quite a claim, often mentioned in early AI 'tests'?  Can it work?   Is simulation sufficiently complex proxy for the market?

AI stock trading experiment beats market in simulation  by Chinese Association of Automation in TechExplore

Researchers in Italy have melded the emerging science of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) with deep learning—a discipline within artificial intelligence—to achieve a system of market forecasting with the potential for greater gains and fewer losses than previous attempts to use AI methods to manage stock portfolios. The team, led by Prof. Silvio Barra at the University of Cagliari, published their findings on IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica.

The University of Cagliari-based team set out to create an AI-managed "buy and hold" (B&H) strategy—a system of deciding whether to take one of three possible actions—a long action (buying a stock and selling it before the market closes), a short action (selling a stock, then buying it back before the market closes), and a hold (deciding not to invest in a stock that day). At the heart of their proposed system is an automated cycle of analyzing layered images generated from current and past market data. Older B&H systems based their decisions on machine learning, a discipline that leans heavily on predictions based on past performance.....  "

More information: Silvio Barra, Salvatore Mario Carta, Andrea Corriga, Alessandro Sebastian Podda and Diego Reforgiato Recupero, "Deep Learning and Time Series-to-Image Encoding for Financial Forecasting," IEEE/CAA J. Autom. Sinica, vol. 7, no. 3, pp. 683-692, May 2020. www.ieee-jas.org/en/article/do … 109/JAS.2020.1003132

No comments: