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Thursday, November 21, 2019

Predicting Driving Personalities

Seen this mentioned before.  Would also likely be used by insurance companies. Right now only be 'predicted' by accident frequency, an example of prediction of behavior, another example that will be quickly accused of predictive bias?

Predicting People's Driving Personalities  By MIT News

Self-driving cars are coming. But for all their fancy sensors and intricate data-crunching abilities, even the most cutting-edge cars lack something that (almost) every 16-year-old with a learner's permit has: social awareness.

While autonomous technologies have improved substantially, they still ultimately view the drivers around them as obstacles made up of ones and zeros, rather than human beings with specific intentions, motivations, and personalities.

But recently a team led by researchers at MIT's Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory (CSAIL) has been exploring whether self-driving cars can be programmed to classify the social personalities of other drivers, so that they can better predict what different cars will do — and, therefore, be able to drive more safely among them.

In "Social Behavior for Autonomous Vehicles," the scientists integrate tools from social psychology to classify driving behavior with respect to how selfish or selfless a particular driver is.

Specifically, they use something called social value orientation (SVO), which represents the degree to which someone is selfish ("egoistic") versus altruistic or cooperative ("prosocial"). The system then estimates drivers' SVOs to create real-time driving trajectories for self-driving cars.  .... "

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