Superforecasting and Straight Thinking

In this week's NYT book review, a piece on  “Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction,” by the psychologist Philip E. Tetlock.   I have mentioned the work here a number of times.   This overview does a good job presenting key elements.   Also a review of “Mindware: Tools for Smart Thinking,” by the psychologist Richard E. Nisbett.  I have not read the latter,  but based on the review it is a look at principles of thinking that are well known, but could serve as an introduction for students at all ages.