Depends on your expectations. If you want 'General, Human AI (AGI)' you could expect some long delays, but there will be advances along the way. We waited since the 80s and made things very powerful along the way. The current 'magic' solutions do seem to be remarkable, but quite constrained, but will they show us fundamentally new paths?
Facebook's Head of AI Says the Field Will Soon ‘Hit the Wall’ in Wired
Jerome Pesenti is encouraged by progress in artificial intelligence, but sees the limits of the current approach to deep learning.
Jerome Pesenti leads the development of artificial intelligence at one of the world’s most influential—and controversial—companies. As VP of artificial intelligence at Facebook, he oversees hundreds of scientists and engineers whose work shapes the company’s direction and its impact on the wider world.
AI is fundamentally important to Facebook. Algorithms that learn to grab and hold our attention help make the platform and its sister products, Instagram and WhatsApp, stickier and more addictive. And, despite some notable AI flops, like the personal assistant M, Facebook continues to use AI to build new features and products, from Instagram filters to augmented reality apps. .... "
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