More on Superforecasting

Previously mentioned the concept of superforecasting, see tag below.  Here more about the book and idea.   Podcast and text in K@W:

Why an Open Mind Is Key to Making Better Predictions
 .... So what makes a good forecaster? In the new book, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, Wharton management professor Philip Tetlock and co-author Dan Gardner look into what makes people good forecasters. Tetlock, who is also a professor of psychology at Penn’s School of Arts and Sciences, recently spoke to Knowledge@Wharton about his decades of research on the topic and how you can incorporate some of these forecasting techniques into your own life. .... "