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Thursday, February 28, 2008

Kurzweil Predicts Exponential Change

These kinds of predicted advances have implications beyond game-playing. Games are very analogous to simulations, which can be used to do new kinds of predictive analytics. Games are also interactive, which also predicts new ways to integrate simulations with live people. Of course it is not just about hardware, its above divining software that will efficiently solve the problem.
" ... As microprocessors are progressively able to perform more calculations for less money, we can expect to see the price-to-performance ratio of computers improve a billionfold over the next 25 years, predicted Ray Kurzeil during his keynote speech at the Game Developers Conference. Kurzweil says that modern electronics are so powerful that the other fields that rely on them will be subject to advancements at the same rate as the chips that power them, and that software will ultimately become the limiting factor. "You can't ignore the exponential projections," Kurzweil says. "If you're programming a game or any type of information-based technology two or three years from now, the world's going to be completely different." Kurzweil says that previously unrelated fields will essentially become information technology fields due to the growth in the power of computer devices. For example, he says artificial red blood cells could eventually duplicate the work of the real thing, only 1,000 more efficiently. "Biology is very capable and intricate and clever," Kurzweil says, "but it's also very suboptimal, compared to what we ultimately can build with information technology and nanotechnology." ... "

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